Monday, 8 September 2014

2 September 2014: China and Brazil in African Agriculture - news roundup

This news roundup has been collected on behalf of the China and Brazil in African Agriculture (CBAA) project.

For regular updates from the project, sign up to the CBAA newsletter.


Brazil’s More Food Africa programme funds £38m of farming equipment in ZimbabweZimbabwe is said to be receiving farming equipment worth $38m in September for the 2014/15 summer cropping, under Brazil’s ‘More Food Africa’ programme. This was announced at the 2nd National Dialogue on Agro-Business, Food and Nutrition Security organised by the National Economic Consultative Forum and the Zimbabwe Agricultural Society. The consignment forms part of the first tranche of a $98mil package signed by Zimbabwe’s Ministry of Agriculture, Mechanisation and Irrigation Development, and Brazilian counterparts.
(AllAfrica)
 
Sichuan province eyes $300mil investment in Ugandan farming
The Agricultural Department of China's Sichuan province is in talks to invest $300 million in cotton, rice and fruit production in Uganda, a senior Ugandan official said on Wednesday. This is said to require 15,000 acres of land, which the Ugandan government is helping them to acquire. The plan is then to establish an “agricultural production and industrial park which will involve developing the whole value chain of cotton, rice and fruits."
(Reuters)

Mugabe secures Chinese support
Seeking to find $4 billion worth of funding to reinvigorate the Zimbabwean economy, Mugabe went on an official state visit to China last week. It is unclear how much was agreed upon, but a 9 large-scale projects were committed to by Chinese companies and ministries, some backed by China’s EXIM Bank. Among others, this included deals on telecommunications, power generation and the establishment of a petro-chemical industrial park.
(AllAfrica)

Second Brazil-Africa Forum looks at infrastructure & partnershipsThe Brazil-Africa Institute hosted its second Brazil Africa Forum last week in Fortaleza, under the title: ‘Infrastructure, Partnerships and Development’.
(Forum Brazil-Africa)
Brazil-North Africa projects
Following the Brazil-Africa Forum, the Algerian company Cevital said it was looking to increase investments in Brazil and develop areas such as transportation and logistics for grains and cereals (from Brazil) in its own country. The Brazilian Agroindustrial Company also spoke about its ongoing agricultural project in Sudan where its planted area has increased from 7,300 hectares in 2011 to 11,000 hectares this year growing grains and cotton as well as supplying knowledge and technology.
(Brazil-Arab News Agency)

Increased illegal logging in Mozambique sold to China
China, with its rapidly urbanizing population, is the world’s biggest importer of wood products. In its dealings with Mozambique, it is increasingly buying timber that is illegally harvested, according to a new report (pdf) by the Environmental Investigation Agency.(Quartz)

Brazil and Gates Foundation work on biofortified foods in DRC
The Brazilian development corporation EMBRAPA has been carrying out a project in the Democratic Republic of Congo to teach local researchers to measure the amount of carotenoids in biofortified foods such as the yellow cassava and sweet potatoes. The aim is to increase biofortification so as to overcome micronutrient deficiencies. The next stage of the course is estimated to cost $70-80,000 and so the article reports that project members “will turn to the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation for funding”.
(BrazzilMag)

By Henry Tugendhat

Thursday, 4 September 2014

Why are informal water services overlooked in post-conflict state building?

"Humanitarian assistance" painting
“Humanitarian assistance” painting
(futureatlas.com
/ Flickr cc-by-2.0)
by Jeremy Allouche & Maria Cooper

Resource politics is coming back to the forefront of academic and policy debates around peacebuilding. Environmental peace and state building agendas are dominated by questions concerning informality and hybridity in resources. What kind of role do service providers play in peacebuilding and state building and what can we learn from service providers in post conflict states?

In his chapter in a new book on Water and Peacebuilding, Jeremy Allouche makes the case for paying attention to the role of informal service providers, and actively working with them to improve the transition from informal governance to state empowerment.

Resource politics is back. While recent conflicts should not make us jump to dubious conclusions about ‘resource wars’, the management of resources and their dividends is once again becoming an important concern for the international community in relation to state building and peacebuilding.

In peacebuilding, resources matter. In the ongoing Darfur conflict, for example, important resources such as water are increasingly taken into consideration in attempts to achieve peace and stability. Prominent in the attempts to resolve the conflict in recent years has been the Doha Document for Peace in Darfur (DDPD), signed in 2011 by the Sudanese government and the rebel Liberation and Justice Movement. It recognises the importance of addressing multiple issues, as well as the interlinkages between resource use, institutional reforms, state legitimacy, development and economic growth. As such, resource politics is considered an essential part of typical post-conflict restoration – ensuring that citizens’ needs are met and restarting economic activity.

Filling water rollers in Darfur Photo: UNAMID (Flickr)
Filling water rollers in Darfur
Photo: UNAMID (Flickr)
Doubts about the success of the DDPD are largely blamed on the Sudanese government hindering its implementation, as well as its being supported by groups without the necessary political and military influence to endorse it. Despite the limited impact of the DDPD, the centrality of resource management to the solution of the conflict still stands. A recent UNEP report confirmed this by highlighting the importance of environmental governance in the process of peacebuilding.

Service delivery and state building

Restoring service delivery (or establishing it for the first time) is an important part of the resource management so central to peacebuilding. The economic benefits, in particular, of these infrastructural developments are emphasised in many international organisation narratives around post conflict reconstruction, as the recent NEPAD conference in Senegal shows. Donors also consider it a priority to address economic deprivation, especially as it is such a determining factor of general welfare and can in many cases be one of the underlying causes of the conflict in the first place.

However, service delivery is not only about improving the economic wellbeing of citizens. It can also play a significant role in state building, including improving the authority, legitimacy and visibility of the state and giving it a monopoly of power – for example, in taxation.

Through providing services such as water, the state can enhance its legitimacy in the eyes of its citizens as it improves their wellbeing. It is also a nonviolent way for the state to penetrate into rural or inaccessible areas, and gain a presence there.

How water links citizens to the state

An example of this can be observed in Zimbabwe following the country’s independence in 1980. The Mugabe government prioritised providing water and sanitation in rural areas whose inhabitants had been central to the armed struggle that brought Mugabe’s party into power. This increased the party’s popularity and legitimacy in the areas and a majority of the rural communities felt that they had the same rights as the urban elites. The service provision becomes a direct link between citizens and the state.

Service delivery also strengthens the state’s authority and control. The state can apply a uniform standard throughout its territory, meaning that exchange and mobility is facilitated. In addition, it contributes to equity, power-brokering and pacification as rival factions are undermined. In this way, the strengthened state can accommodate former rebels in positions of influence in public institutions to prevent them from developing alternative centres of power.

What about informal providers?

The view outlined above is, however, a narrow vision of state building which focuses on technical aspects of building state capacity, and which ignores (for example) identity issues. This view sees the state as centralised and securitised, emphasising state penetration and the definition of boundaries. It also assumes that conflict is the reason for the absence of the state provision of services.

In many post-conflict situations, the dominant providers of water are in fact non-state, informal providers. However, this might not be caused by the conflict; it might be because formal national institutions were poor or non-existent. In these situations, local communities and households will have built up their own informal methods to ensure water supply in the face of droughts, floods and other water-related risks. This informal service delivery is often sub-standard and relatively expensive. Nonetheless, in poor and peri-urban African communities, unregulated, small-scale, informal water providers dominate the delivery of water.

Community well in Liberia
Community well, Liberia.
Photo: European DG Commission ECHO (Flickr)
In fact, Western assumptions of the effects of conflict on infrastructure are often wrong. Westerners often see conflict as a highly technological battlefield, when in fact many post-colonial countries are confronted with irregular warfare favouring indirect approaches of targeting the enemy. This type of warfare means that large elements of the infrastructure are left unharmed, and may continue to be used by informal service providers in the absence of state provision. Private sector participation in water services in post-conflict situations is consequently very important.

When trying to build up formal structures and governance as part of peacebuilding and state building priorities to increase water security, it is important to take informal structures into account. Informal structures are often all that people have. Introducing government service delivery may actually damage the informal structures and affect informal livelihoods in a way that decreases water security for people. The perspective of informal service providers in the state building discourse, then, becomes critical.

The bureaucratic model

Yet the predominant approach to state building we can see today focuses on creating security and stability in order to control territory and promote regional and international trade. State service delivery is part of this, as it is considered a basis of the liberal peace model approach often used by donors to improve citizens’ wellbeing and enhancing state legitimacy. This leads to a centralised state and the view that informal service providers are resisting state authority. According to this model, informal providers are part of the problem, not the solution.

The international community thus tends to act to build a particular type of bureaucratic state emphasising depersonalised, formalised, and rationalised political power. This conception of the state is dominated by a Western Weberian discourse emphasising the role of strong bureaucracy and institutions. Its influence over the state building agenda leads to a lack of recognition of the informal service providers and the role they play in post conflict situations.

The effect of this discourse is to disconnect the state building agenda from the post-conflict reconstruction agenda. Informal service provision, however, bridges the two. For example, providing water services improves citizens’ lives and wellbeing, leading to a restart of economic activity, etc., and other important aspects of reconstruction. It is also an essential instrument for state building and improving state legitimacy and authority: if the well-being of citizens is improved, the legitimacy and authority of state institutions will be increased.

The challenge of moving from informal to state governance

There is, however, a major challenge in reconciling informal and conventional procedures of water provision. For example, regulating non-state water providers is difficult, with limitations to contracts and monitoring. The lack of recognition of informal service providers in the state building discourse has far-reaching consequences for pricing and public health. Informal service providers are able to charge very high prices as they operate in conditions without competition, and water quality is often left unchecked, leading to the spread of diseases.

Despite this, outside investments in the water sector in post-conflict situations are often considered too risky. A report by the World Bank shows that private investment in water supply tends to come much later and be more limited than other investment in infrastructure.

Instead of seeing informal service providers as part of the problem in post conflict reconstruction and state building, why aren’t they seen as part of the solution? To do so, practitioners and analysts of state building should open up the state building discourse, and talk about how to move from informal governance to regulatory governance.

The difficult part of all this is how to build up institutional capacity, which is essentially formal (‘top-down’), without harming the informal (‘bottom-up’) systems that already exist, and upon which many citizens still rely for their water provision and livelihoods. There needs to be a productive balance between formal and informal service delivery and water governance mechanisms.

The transition from informal to formal governance needs to receive more attention in the state building discourse, in order to develop a balanced and nuanced understanding of the ways in which informal and formal services can be supported in parallel, in a context-sensitive manner, to increase water security, improve citizens’ wellbeing and ultimately contribute to peacebuilding.

Further reading on water & justice

Tuesday, 2 September 2014

Capturing the legacy of and learning from long-term programmes using innovation histories

Editor's note: This blog is part of a series of reflections emerging from a workshop on complex adaptive systems research methods held in Baltimore in June 2014.

At the recent workshop on methods for complex adaptive systems (CAS) research in Baltimore, jointly organised by the STEPS Centre and Future Health Systems, thoughts turned to the legacy of such long-term programmes. Though they had different funders, both STEPS and FHS started in 2006. So now, as both programmes start thinking about their 10th anniversaries, how can we begin to summarise all that research and the influence that it has had?

If stuck in a lift with a DFID minister, for example, what would we say?

Memory fail aside, the question is hard to answer because our consortia have made it a mission to embrace the complex realities of health systems and other development contexts, and summing up needs to go beyond what is recorded in journal articles and research reports.

In a small-group discussion as part of the workshop, we concluded that one of the most innovative features of the FHS consortium is that we have developed and utilised approaches that put people and contexts at the centre of research.

The learning involved in doing research in messy and changing contexts is as important an outcome as the project findings. We have experimented with a number of tools to explore complexity in our research settings, many of which were discussed at the CAS workshop and are described in this blog series. But, in summing up our research, we need tools that enable us to explore the dynamic interactions between the context and the intervention, and the learning that this had generated over time. One such tool is the innovation history method, already employed across a number of STEPS Centre projects, and which the FHS Bangladesh and the FHS India teams have recently adopted.

About innovation histories
An innovation history, developed by the International Centre for Tropical Agriculture, is a participatory method for developing a detailed timeline and description of an innovation – in this case the design and implementation of a research project. Key elements are timeline construction, stakeholder mapping and production of a shared narrative history. Based on an understanding of innovation processes as evolutionary and non-linear, it traces how multiple innovation pathways emerge from the project and asks who are the people and events which shape them.

Innovation in Bangladesh?
I worked with the FHS Bangladesh team to carry out an innovation history and found it to be a productive and rewarding experience. It is not often that one is given a chance to reflect on the past and to be open and honest about what happened. What makes an innovation history different is that is tries to get beyond, or beneath, the official version of events, to probe the informal and the personal. It takes a while for people to warm up – and to remember! – but asking people about their experiences and opinions can bring about some fascinating insights.

The Bangladesh team have experienced some difficulties in the implementation of their mHealth project. A private-sector partner pulled out abruptly and uptake was not as high as hoped. Standard evaluations might have labelled this a failure. However, the innovation history highlighted what has been gained from this, and previous experiences with FHS research interventions in Bangladesh.

That history is one of continuous engagement and network building with informal providers and most recently with mHealth actors. From this base, the team have found – and continue to find – creative ways to deal with unexpected events and to keep up with the fast paced growth in Bangladesh's eHealth sector. By taking matters into their own hands, for instance developing their own mHealth platforms when their partner pulled out, they have strengthened their in house capabilities; by seeking partnership and interactions with other eHealth players, they have positioned themselves at the centre of the emerging innovation system. All the while, they have maintained their focus on the people of Chakaria and are well positioned to take any innovative solutions to scale.

Reflections on the innovation history process
Adapting to the context by developing one's own capacities, reviewing old assumptions and creating new networks is surely an appropriate – and resilient – way to deal with the uncertainty and complexity of innovation and health system contexts.

If a focus of FHS research has been people and complex contexts then innovation histories are great ways to sum this up. As a tool they push us to pay attention to the experiences of people involved and to get beyond successes and failures, to see what has emerged over long periods of time. In its approach and its findings the innovation history in Bangladesh is an example of how FHS has supplemented RCT style evidence generation by putting into practice ways of opening up and broadening out health systems research.

By Annie Wilkinson, FHS and STEPS Centre researcher

Ten things to know about causal loop diagrams (CLDs)

Editor's note: This blog is part of a series of reflections emerging from a workshop on complex adaptive systems research methods held in Baltimore in June 2014.

Publications on causal loop diagrams (CLDs) have increased fourfold since 2007!
Okay, that probably sounds more impressive than it actually is – in reality it means that we've risen from one publication per year to four. Though, this year, that number is likely to jump even further with the recent release of the Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research new journal supplement on systems thinking for health research.

While the number of publications using CLDs remains negligible, in the grand scheme of things, the appearance of causal loop diagrams on PubMed's radar signals that researchers are increasingly interested in studying complexity and applying new tools and approaches to their research questions.

As discussed at a methods workshop held in Baltimore in June 2014, systems mapping and conceptualization – a key part of the puzzle of intervening in complex systems – is a process of developing diagrams to illustrate system boundaries and the connections between variables.
CLDs are one type of system map, but they are by no means the only one. What makes CLDs particularly useful is that, in addition to mapping a system structure, they help build understanding of connections between a range of variables.

The increased momentum around complexity and tools such as the CLDs begin to raise issues that question the very core of the paradigms in which we generally operate in public health. That creates demand for understanding what CLDs are and when to develop and use them. It also creates an opportunity to drop some of the communication barriers that exist between disciplines and to push the boundaries of our understanding of complex systems.

What CLDs are
  1. Diagrams that make implicit mental models explicit and that identify which components/variables are part of a system of interest and how they are related – including the directionality of the influence, and the feedback that arises.
  2. First developed in engineering, CLDs benefit from a clear description of conventions used for drawing them – a common "language" that can contribute to bridging the gap between disciplines and facilitate team synergies.
  3. A process by which to document our assumptions and biases, and tease out relationships between variables (if it's not clear whether A causes B to grow, then the pathway between the variables contains additional variables that must be unhidden and teased out), as well as brainstorm about variable relationships and influence pathways.
  4. An opportunity to bring together different stakeholders – that might have divergent mental models – in order to facilitate agreement around how and why to intervene in a system, potentially through participatory or group model building.
  5. A way to illustrate relationships stemming from quantitative and qualitative data, as well as to theorize about potential hypothetical relationships, which can be tested through future data collection.
What CLDs are not
  1. NOT the only approach use to conceptualize and map systems
  2. NOT meaningful on their own, without a description of the assumptions underlying its construction and of the context for which it was developed.
  3. NOT always resulting in generalizable findings – only to the extent that the research design and data collection intended and allowed it to be.
  4. NOT the end product – the process can be sometimes more important than the diagram itself.
  5. NOT easy to communicate, particularly to individuals who were not involved in the design of the diagram – however, this is an issue that practice and future research should be able to improve.
The way(s) forward?

Some might argue that conceptual frameworks, decision trees, flow charts are already used for similar purposes. And those same people might therefore question whether our complex world really need another complex diagram, especially if it is difficult to communicate.

To those detractors (well, sceptics maybe), I would argue that there is growing consensus in international development that greater focus is needed on iterative design and flexible implementation approaches. The systems science toolbox can potentially help in this new quest, and CLDs are an approach worth considering. They are just one component of an iterative process – one that we can return to frequently as a system or our knowledge of a system changes.

The purpose that CLDs serve depends on the research questions and intentions, whether it be: building new theories, designing or planning an intervention, identifying variables and relationships for the purpose of building a model (e.g. a system dynamics model), and/or interpreting research findings that are conflicting.

Regardless of the purpose, or the type of diagram for that matter, my advice is to keep it simple and easy to communicate. There is software to help with drawing neat diagrams (e.g. Vensim), however, pen and (multiple sheets) of paper can also do the job. Furthermore, the ideal model building process – and therefore also the ideal CLD development process – should be a team effort. It should also be one that brings together researchers from various fields and perspectives.

By Ligia Paina, FHS researcher, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

New methods needed: How can complexity science help us to understand pluralistic health systems?

Editor's note: This is the first blog in a series of reflections emerging from a workshop on complex adaptive systems research methods held in Baltimore in June 2014.

Until recently, the dominant view of a health system was as a combination of building blocks -- such as human resources, finance and so forth -- capable of delivering a package of services. The construction of this kind of health system was seen as relatively straight forward.

However, a number of studies have challenged this view by demonstrating the important influence of context on health system performance. This has stimulated an interest among health system analysts in the application of concepts associated with complex adaptive systems to the challenge of managing health system development and change.

This was the theme of a workshop jointly organised by Future Health Systems and the STEPS Centre in Baltimore in June 2014. The workshop provided an opportunity for an exchange of ideas between people whose focus has been on the analysis of health systems, those involved in systems thinking and the role of modelling and those who bring a social science perspective to the analysis of complex and dynamic contexts.

Although health system actors often have a lot of autonomy, most health systems are highly conservative and their future development is greatly influenced by their historical legacy.

This underlines the importance of institutions and the formal and informal rules of behaviour to the effective functioning of a health system. In most health systems, the performance of health workers is strongly influenced by internalised norms of ethical behaviour. But there is little systematic knowledge about these highly influential norms and beliefs.

Several factors may be contributing to an increased possibility of major health system change. These include:
  • Rising expectations of citizens for safe and effective health services
  • Emergence and spread of potentially disruptive technologies, such as the rapid development of ICTs and of low cost diagnostic technologies
  • Growing political pressure on governments to improve access to health services.
Managers of health system change can draw on lessons from other sectors to analyse the process through which a series of relatively small scale changes eventually add up into a major change in socio-technical regime.

Health system development and change is a highly political process in which struggles between competing interests strongly influence the development pathway that results. That is why an analysis of health system change needs to include a study of the political and economic context. This can include the identification of a number of competing pathways of change and the implications of each for different interest groups, including the relatively poor and powerless.

It will be a long time before it is possible to include institutional rules and beliefs, the emergence and spread of innovative technologies and organisational arrangements and the political struggle between interest groups into an integrated model of a national health system.

Meanwhile, it is important to involve a number of disciplinary approaches in the analysis of health system performance and the management of health system change. Some approaches discussed the workshop included the production of innovation histories and the application of the STEPS pathways approach to the analysis of health system change.

By Gerry Bloom